Back to Traders

wokerjoesleeper

0x63d43bbb87f85af03b8f2f9e2fad7b54334fa2f1

Edge: 97/100 Bot Whale
Total Profit +$209,237.13 +78.5% ROI
Win Rate 74.7%
Trades 1000
Portfolio $487.6K
Positions 500
Verified on-chain

Trader Insight

Strong 78% ROI outperforming most traders. Solid 75% win rate indicates consistent edge. Whale activity - large positions may move markets.

Large position holder with $476K deployed. May be market making or have information edge.

Advanced Trading Metrics

BUY Trades 1000 (100.0%)
SELL Trades 0 (0.0%)
Interval N/A
Open 499
Profitable 371
Losing 126
P/L Ratio 20.2x

Position Price Distribution

Ultra Low (<10¢)
240
Low (10-30¢)
51
Mid (30-70¢)
52
High (70-90¢)
38
Ultra High (>90¢)
118

Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money

Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (74.7%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 20.2x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.

Long-Tail Lottery Ticket Strategy: 48% of positions are ultra-low probability bets (<10¢). The profitability here comes from: (1) Buying severely mispriced tail events that the market underestimates, (2) Limited downside (max loss is entry price × size), (3) Asymmetric upside (can gain 10x-100x on correct predictions). The trader exploits market inefficiency in pricing low-probability events, similar to insurance companies but in reverse.

Market-Making With Directional Bias: 100% BUY activity suggests the trader is primarily providing liquidity (taking the other side of sellers). However, unlike neutral market makers, this trader has directional edge - they're selectively buying undervalued positions and letting winners run while cutting losers. The 20.2x P/L ratio shows they're not just earning spread - they're accumulating positions with positive expected value.

Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.

Active Positions

Market Outcome Size Avg Price Current Value P&L % P&L
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Yes 386425.66 $0.56 $383141.04 +$165153.30 +75.8%
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by Ja... No 10040.18 $0.65 $9583.35 +$3095.61 +47.7%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No 7753.24 $0.41 $5931.23 +$2719.78 +84.7%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 202... Yes 3460.99 $0.05 $3405.61 +$3232.73 +1869.9%
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026... Yes 3326.28 $0.06 $3249.78 +$3063.72 +1646.7%
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No 4000.00 $0.67 $3220.00 +$550.00 +20.6%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? No 3336.97 $0.69 $3186.81 +$884.30 +38.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential el... Yes 10314.24 $0.00 $2408.37 +$2368.33 +5914.9%
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework... No 2213.87 $0.82 $2167.38 +$362.70 +20.1%
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rooki... Yes 1841.66 $0.07 $1685.12 +$1555.44 +1199.4%

Recent Trades

Time Market Side Size Price Total
2026-01-24 19:35 Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 202... BUY 1.26 $0.48 $0.60
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour? BUY 90.67 $0.99 $89.94
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 90.67 $0.94 $85.41
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours an... BUY 90.67 $0.95 $86.59
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 90.67 $0.77 $69.82
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 3... BUY 10.73 $0.94 $10.12
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours an... BUY 12.06 $0.91 $10.93
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 90.67 $0.77 $69.82
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by ... BUY 90.67 $0.88 $80.06
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours an... BUY 30.00 $0.91 $27.18
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours an... BUY 30.00 $0.95 $28.65
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour? BUY 30.00 $0.99 $29.76
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 30.00 $0.77 $23.10
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 30.00 $0.84 $25.20
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 30.00 $0.94 $28.26
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by ... BUY 30.00 $0.89 $26.58
2026-01-24 19:32 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 3... BUY 30.00 $0.94 $28.29
2026-01-24 19:31 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 50.00 $0.77 $38.50
2026-01-24 19:31 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 80.00 $0.77 $61.60
2026-01-24 19:31 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... BUY 50.00 $0.84 $42.00