stop.gambling
0x0974d7a915229cb770fb43ac46f360dcf964003d
Trader Insight
Extremely active with 1000+ trades.
Standard trading pattern without clear edge signals. [AUTOMATED BOT - trades execute within seconds]
Advanced Trading Metrics
Position Price Distribution
Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money
Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (58.2%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 1.2x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.
High-Frequency Execution Indicates Information Edge: With a median trading interval of 32 seconds, this is clearly automated bot trading. The speed of execution suggests access to real-time information that human traders cannot process fast enough. The profitability combined with HFT strongly indicates either: (1) superior information sources, (2) faster data processing, or (3) arbitrage opportunities that close within seconds.
Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.
Active Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current Value | P&L | % P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? | Yes | 1837.38 | $0.14 | $1056.49 | +$793.17 | +301.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 884.30 | $0.90 | $864.40 | +$66.81 | +8.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 866.56 | $0.92 | $861.79 | +$62.04 | +7.8% |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential electi... | No | 844.50 | $0.95 | $828.88 | +$28.92 | +3.6% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 833.89 | $0.96 | $826.80 | +$27.11 | +3.4% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 863.75 | $0.91 | $816.24 | +$27.61 | +3.5% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | No | 815.61 | $0.98 | $811.94 | +$12.41 | +1.6% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? | No | 892.23 | $0.90 | $794.09 | $-5.90 | -0.7% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? | No | 878.04 | $0.91 | $777.94 | $-21.98 | -2.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026? | No | 820.79 | $0.90 | $775.65 | +$35.04 | +4.7% |