plzdontdropout
0xb63ac06f20eed05d0a34f61116d0580a0afb4064
Trader Insight
67% win rate over 1000+ trades is statistically significant. Whale activity - large positions may move markets. $23K profit demonstrates proven edge.
Large position holder with $972K deployed. May be market making or have information edge.
Advanced Trading Metrics
Position Price Distribution
Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money
Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (67.4%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 1.1x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.
High-Frequency Execution Indicates Information Edge: With a median trading interval of 10 seconds, this is clearly automated bot trading. The speed of execution suggests access to real-time information that human traders cannot process fast enough. The profitability combined with HFT strongly indicates either: (1) superior information sources, (2) faster data processing, or (3) arbitrage opportunities that close within seconds.
Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.
Active Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current Value | P&L | % P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | No | 47583.73 | $0.98 | $47131.68 | +$686.97 | +1.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | No | 47385.24 | $0.85 | $44139.35 | +$4059.68 | +10.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | No | 42336.42 | $0.98 | $41934.22 | +$456.60 | +1.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25? | No | 32384.25 | $0.96 | $32319.48 | +$1149.38 | +3.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | No | 24770.73 | $0.96 | $24312.47 | +$487.61 | +2.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25? | No | 21160.63 | $0.99 | $21150.05 | +$197.98 | +0.9% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25? | Yes | 19967.32 | $0.98 | $19707.74 | +$75.18 | +0.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 19-25? | No | 17744.59 | $0.99 | $17691.35 | +$99.37 | +0.6% |
| Will Solana reach $150 in January? | No | 16763.82 | $0.39 | $16009.45 | +$9460.14 | +144.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25? | No | 15488.02 | $0.95 | $15433.81 | +$747.92 | +5.1% |