mickeyB
0x58c85b9a2f357cb32d92cbb6443d552148060300
Trader Insight
69% win rate over 1000+ trades is statistically significant. Extremely active with 1000+ trades.
Standard trading pattern without clear edge signals. [AUTOMATED BOT - trades execute within seconds]
Advanced Trading Metrics
Position Price Distribution
Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money
Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (68.9%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 1.1x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.
High-Frequency Execution Indicates Information Edge: With a median trading interval of 2 seconds, this is clearly automated bot trading. The speed of execution suggests access to real-time information that human traders cannot process fast enough. The profitability combined with HFT strongly indicates either: (1) superior information sources, (2) faster data processing, or (3) arbitrage opportunities that close within seconds.
Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.
Active Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current Value | P&L | % P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division? | No | 139.00 | $0.89 | $132.54 | +$8.67 | +7.0% |
| Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | No | 110.00 | $0.89 | $109.67 | +$11.27 | +11.5% |
| Will France join the Board of Peace? | No | 108.25 | $0.85 | $101.21 | +$9.20 | +10.0% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 120.00 | $0.81 | $97.50 | $-0.16 | -0.2% |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.04? | Yes | 100.00 | $0.77 | $95.80 | +$18.97 | +24.7% |
| Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary... | No | 109.00 | $0.69 | $80.28 | +$5.53 | +7.4% |
| Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 78.64 | $0.76 | $78.64 | +$19.13 | +32.1% |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 110.00 | $0.76 | $73.15 | $-10.45 | -12.5% |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican... | No | 100.00 | $0.70 | $68.99 | $-1.21 | -1.7% |
| OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5 | Over | 65.00 | $0.37 | $65.00 | +$40.95 | +170.3% |
Recent Trades
| Time | Market | Side | Size | Price | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 19:48 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | BUY | 10.00 | $0.49 | $4.90 |
| 2026-01-22 19:48 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | SELL | 10.00 | $0.51 | $5.10 |
| 2026-01-22 19:48 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | SELL | 10.00 | $0.51 | $5.10 |
| 2026-01-22 19:48 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | SELL | 10.00 | $0.51 | $5.10 |
| 2026-01-22 19:48 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | SELL | 10.00 | $0.51 | $5.10 |
| 2026-01-22 19:48 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | SELL | 10.00 | $0.51 | $5.10 |
| 2026-01-22 19:48 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | SELL | 10.00 | $0.51 | $5.10 |
| 2026-01-22 19:48 | OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 5.00 | $0.37 | $1.85 |
| 2026-01-22 19:47 | OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 10.00 | $0.37 | $3.70 |
| 2026-01-22 19:47 | OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 10.00 | $0.37 | $3.70 |
| 2026-01-22 19:42 | Celtics vs. Nets | BUY | 10.00 | $0.18 | $1.80 |
| 2026-01-22 19:42 | Celtics vs. Nets | BUY | 10.00 | $0.18 | $1.80 |
| 2026-01-22 19:42 | Celtics vs. Nets | BUY | 10.00 | $0.18 | $1.80 |
| 2026-01-22 19:42 | Celtics vs. Nets | BUY | 10.00 | $0.18 | $1.80 |
| 2026-01-22 19:42 | Celtics vs. Nets | BUY | 10.00 | $0.18 | $1.80 |
| 2026-01-22 19:38 | Raptors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 10.00 | $0.47 | $4.70 |
| 2026-01-22 19:26 | Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5) | BUY | 10.00 | $0.26 | $2.60 |
| 2026-01-22 19:26 | Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5) | BUY | 10.00 | $0.26 | $2.60 |
| 2026-01-22 19:23 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 19 above $450? | BUY | 10.00 | $0.40 | $4.00 |
| 2026-01-22 19:23 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 19 above $450? | SELL | 10.00 | $0.60 | $6.00 |