filthyBera
0x8a091656e5f4c6bc4fdf37b2585be0235f68e317
Trader Insight
Solid 80% win rate indicates consistent edge. Spread arbitrage - neutral position capturing bid-ask spread.
Neutral spread trader capturing bid-ask difference. Low directional risk.
Advanced Trading Metrics
Position Price Distribution
Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money
Token Launch FDV Contrarian Specialist: This trader has discovered a systematic edge by betting NO on overhyped FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) predictions for token launches. 100% of their positions are FDV markets, with 100% betting NO.
Why This Works: Token launches generate extreme retail euphoria. Crypto Twitter hypes '$3B FDV' targets that are unrealistic. This trader systematically bets NO because: (1) Retail confuses circulating market cap with FDV, (2) Most tokens dump 30-50% within 24 hours of launch, (3) Inflated FDV targets assume matching top protocols (unrealistic), (4) Markets resolve in 24 hours - hype fades fast.
Real Results: Top FDV position generated $2,213 profit (+35% ROI). The trader's 80% win rate on FDV markets shows this is systematic, repeatable edge - not luck. Every token launch follows the same pattern: hype → inflated YES prices → reality sets in → market resolves NO → profit.
Active Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current Value | P&L | % P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 22268.39 | $0.28 | $8461.99 | +$2212.97 | +35.4% |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 8863.62 | $0.81 | $7711.35 | +$502.07 | +7.0% |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 20365.13 | $0.46 | $5905.89 | $-3462.07 | -37.0% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 30503.94 | $0.07 | $3614.72 | +$1415.14 | +64.3% |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 459.19 | $0.86 | $433.48 | +$36.28 | +9.1% |
Recent Trades
| Time | Market | Side | Size | Price | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 17:42 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 1400.00 | $0.94 | $1320.84 |
| 2026-01-24 17:41 | Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 2476.56 | $0.84 | $2080.31 |
| 2026-01-13 00:08 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 960.00 | $0.95 | $908.28 |
| 2026-01-12 22:44 | Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 4932.06 | $0.83 | $4093.61 |
| 2026-01-12 21:02 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 3810.00 | $0.85 | $3238.50 |
| 2026-01-12 21:01 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 2000.00 | $0.95 | $1898.53 |
| 2026-01-11 22:37 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 137.25 | $0.66 | $90.83 |
| 2026-01-11 22:37 | Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch? | SELL | 422.59 | $0.79 | $332.20 |
| 2026-01-10 19:10 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 45.74 | $0.61 | $27.91 |
| 2026-01-07 18:06 | Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 5176.73 | $0.66 | $3415.17 |
| 2026-01-06 18:22 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 1449.25 | $0.88 | $1274.36 |
| 2026-01-06 05:22 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 388.02 | $0.96 | $372.91 |
| 2026-01-06 05:22 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 109.64 | $0.89 | $97.58 |
| 2026-01-05 20:00 | Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 9350.00 | $0.43 | $3997.97 |
| 2026-01-03 18:08 | Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 637.05 | $0.94 | $598.83 |
| 2025-12-30 00:10 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 3570.00 | $0.87 | $3105.90 |
| 2025-12-29 15:15 | Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 119.16 | $0.77 | $91.40 |
| 2025-12-29 15:14 | Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 8.15 | $0.81 | $6.60 |
| 2025-12-29 15:14 | StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 34.70 | $0.88 | $30.37 |
| 2025-12-13 04:35 | Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 2934.08 | $0.95 | $2792.67 |