axiol
0x8217b6c8878a4aa4ecc023608dbf91d4fac64936
Trader Insight
Solid 80% win rate indicates consistent edge. Directional bias - riding market trends. Extremely active with 1000+ trades.
Directional trader with 86% bullish bias. Trading with conviction. [AUTOMATED BOT - trades execute within seconds]
Advanced Trading Metrics
Position Price Distribution
Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money
Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (80.0%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 1.4x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.
Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.
Active Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current Value | P&L | % P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 1840.33 | $0.84 | $1739.11 | +$196.27 | +12.7% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1396.24 | $0.90 | $1384.37 | +$124.04 | +9.8% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be le... | Yes | 1214.80 | $0.59 | $1206.30 | +$489.78 | +68.4% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 1457.50 | $0.71 | $1173.29 | +$142.37 | +13.8% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 1168.14 | $0.62 | $893.63 | +$173.96 | +24.2% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? | Yes | 1531.11 | $0.27 | $880.39 | +$470.57 | +114.8% |
| Will LuÃs Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential ... | No | 788.23 | $0.39 | $787.84 | +$481.06 | +156.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | 796.63 | $0.88 | $786.67 | +$86.38 | +12.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 782.76 | $0.93 | $778.45 | +$53.72 | +7.4% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 1025.26 | $0.69 | $743.31 | +$39.96 | +5.7% |