Nijntje
0xc7719806a9667802da0c9fbaf759963399acb18f
Trader Insight
Directional bias - riding market trends.
Directional trader with 72% bullish bias. Trading with conviction.
Advanced Trading Metrics
Position Price Distribution
Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money
Asymmetric Profit Strategy: Despite only winning 28.6% of positions, this trader is profitable because their winners are 13.6x larger than their losers. This means each winning position earns $13.6 for every $1 lost on losing positions. This is the mathematical essence of profitable trading: win rate × average win > loss rate × average loss. The trader achieves profitability through (28.6% × 13.6) > (71.4% × 1.0) = 3.88 > 0.71.
Market-Making With Directional Bias: 72% BUY activity suggests the trader is primarily providing liquidity (taking the other side of sellers). However, unlike neutral market makers, this trader has directional edge - they're selectively buying undervalued positions and letting winners run while cutting losers. The 13.6x P/L ratio shows they're not just earning spread - they're accumulating positions with positive expected value.
Name Change History
This trader has changed their name 1 time. Frequent name changes may indicate insider activity.
Active Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current Value | P&L | % P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 15037.78 | $0.50 | $13609.19 | +$6080.78 | +80.8% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 8360.11 | $0.46 | $5141.47 | +$1270.53 | +32.8% |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 8342.22 | $0.46 | $2961.49 | $-838.28 | -22.1% |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 3431.10 | $0.33 | $960.71 | $-158.31 | -14.1% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 1009.25 | $0.73 | $686.29 | $-50.46 | -6.8% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 208.00 | $0.76 | $121.68 | $-36.40 | -23.0% |
| Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? | Yes | 4029.13 | $0.01 | $0 | $-41.76 | -100.0% |