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Mujurry

0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787

Edge: 34/100 Bot Whale
Total Profit +$21,130.13 +20.2% ROI
Win Rate 44.2%
Trades 1000
Portfolio $125.7K
Positions 266
Verified on-chain

Trader Insight

Whale activity - large positions may move markets. $21K profit demonstrates proven edge. Extremely active with 1000+ trades.

Large position holder with $126K deployed. May be market making or have information edge.

Advanced Trading Metrics

BUY Trades 519 (51.9%)
SELL Trades 481 (48.1%)
Interval 2.2m
Open 266
Profitable 117
Losing 148
P/L Ratio 3.25x

Position Price Distribution

Ultra Low (<10¢)
140
Low (10-30¢)
34
Mid (30-70¢)
33
High (70-90¢)
14
Ultra High (>90¢)
45

Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money

Asymmetric Profit Strategy: Despite only winning 44.2% of positions, this trader is profitable because their winners are 3.2x larger than their losers. This means each winning position earns $3.2 for every $1 lost on losing positions. This is the mathematical essence of profitable trading: win rate × average win > loss rate × average loss. The trader achieves profitability through (44.2% × 3.2) > (55.8% × 1.0) = 1.43 > 0.56.

Long-Tail Lottery Ticket Strategy: 53% of positions are ultra-low probability bets (<10¢). The profitability here comes from: (1) Buying severely mispriced tail events that the market underestimates, (2) Limited downside (max loss is entry price × size), (3) Asymmetric upside (can gain 10x-100x on correct predictions). The trader exploits market inefficiency in pricing low-probability events, similar to insurance companies but in reverse.

Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.

Name Change History

This trader has changed their name 1 time. Frequent name changes may indicate insider activity.

CURRENT
Mujurry
Active now
(no name)
Until Unknown

Active Positions

Market Outcome Size Avg Price Current Value P&L % P&L
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan Japan 33992.69 $0.72 $33958.69 +$9566.32 +39.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin... Yes 40096.41 $0.42 $13829.25 $-2844.92 -17.1%
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be betwee... Yes 17415.33 $0.27 $8446.43 +$3791.05 +81.4%
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? No 5834.68 $0.87 $5280.39 +$175.87 +3.4%
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th A... Yes 6000.00 $0.02 $4230.00 +$4091.86 +2962.0%
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 Yes 4510.60 $0.14 $2931.89 +$2300.41 +364.3%
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be gr... No 2788.27 $0.97 $2771.54 +$72.56 +2.7%
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? No 2806.44 $0.96 $2732.07 +$51.23 +1.9%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? No 3274.65 $0.70 $2374.12 +$76.37 +3.3%
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and... Yes 10000.00 $0.12 $2350.00 +$1193.10 +103.1%

Recent Trades

Time Market Side Size Price Total
2026-01-24 14:05 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours an... BUY 190.45 $0.08 $15.13
2026-01-24 11:55 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 2... SELL 663.99 $0.99 $660.10
2026-01-24 11:50 AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan BUY 2399.43 $0.73 $1751.58
2026-01-24 06:29 AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan SELL 594.90 $0.72 $428.33
2026-01-24 05:34 AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan SELL 534.65 $0.73 $390.29
2026-01-24 04:58 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? SELL 3139.46 $0.46 $1434.73
2026-01-23 14:12 Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at t... SELL 102.50 $0.01 $0.51
2026-01-23 14:12 Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original So... SELL 806.74 $0.00 $2.92
2026-01-23 14:12 Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song... SELL 1999.99 $0.00 $2.00
2026-01-23 09:09 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th A... SELL 1812.28 $0.70 $1268.60
2026-01-23 06:09 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? SELL 3000.01 $0.00 $3.00
2026-01-23 03:58 Will Elio win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy... SELL 25.00 $0.02 $0.53
2026-01-23 02:45 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? SELL 657.09 $0.95 $624.24
2026-01-23 02:43 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? SELL 1573.77 $0.97 $1526.96
2026-01-23 00:32 Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of Ja... SELL 957.60 $0.01 $10.53
2026-01-23 00:29 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 2... BUY 648.98 $0.99 $642.49
2026-01-23 00:29 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 2... BUY 48.98 $0.99 $48.49
2026-01-23 00:29 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 2... BUY 79.74 $0.99 $78.93
2026-01-22 23:16 Will "Hamnet" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars? BUY 62.00 $0.97 $59.88
2026-01-22 23:16 Will "Hamnet" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars? BUY 149.99 $0.98 $146.59