Istaroth
0x9efda3d6354152901fc4706c3b1a9ce50b45ad00
Trader Insight
62% win rate over 966+ trades is statistically significant. Whale activity - large positions may move markets. $215K total profit - top tier performer.
Large position holder with $697K deployed. May be market making or have information edge.
Advanced Trading Metrics
Position Price Distribution
Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money
Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (61.5%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 16089.5x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.
Market-Making With Directional Bias: 83% BUY activity suggests the trader is primarily providing liquidity (taking the other side of sellers). However, unlike neutral market makers, this trader has directional edge - they're selectively buying undervalued positions and letting winners run while cutting losers. The 16089.5x P/L ratio shows they're not just earning spread - they're accumulating positions with positive expected value.
Active Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current Value | P&L | % P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 693859.91 | $0.68 | $687962.10 | +$215211.06 | +45.5% |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–... | Yes | 5390.75 | $0.94 | $5344.93 | +$288.75 | +5.7% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | No | 3056.03 | $0.95 | $2947.54 | +$47.71 | +1.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 287.91 | $0.97 | $282.01 | +$2.73 | +1.0% |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 11.85 | $0.98 | $11.78 | +$0.12 | +1.0% |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential electi... | No | 10.00 | $0.97 | $9.81 | +$0.12 | +1.2% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential ... | Yes | 10.00 | $0.97 | $9.80 | +$0.10 | +1.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 10.00 | $0.97 | $9.78 | +$0.03 | +0.3% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 10.00 | $0.95 | $9.45 | $-0.05 | -0.5% |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.95 | $9.05 | $-0.95 | -9.5% |