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Hourglass

0x1d8c256b15d3cd1f5db221e70c77f552eb8d757a

Edge: 66/100 Bot Momentum Bullish
Total Profit +$1,102.65 +13.1% ROI
Win Rate 63.6%
Trades 1000
Portfolio $9.7K
Positions 500
Verified on-chain

Trader Insight

64% win rate over 1000+ trades is statistically significant. Directional bias - riding market trends. Extremely active with 1000+ trades.

Directional trader with 100% bullish bias. Trading with conviction. [AUTOMATED BOT - trades execute within seconds]

Advanced Trading Metrics

BUY Trades 1000 (100.0%)
SELL Trades 0 (0.0%)
Interval N/A
Open 500
Profitable 308
Losing 176
P/L Ratio 5.36x

Position Price Distribution

Ultra Low (<10¢)
233
Low (10-30¢)
18
Mid (30-70¢)
25
High (70-90¢)
47
Ultra High (>90¢)
177

Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money

Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (63.6%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 5.4x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.

Long-Tail Lottery Ticket Strategy: 47% of positions are ultra-low probability bets (<10¢). The profitability here comes from: (1) Buying severely mispriced tail events that the market underestimates, (2) Limited downside (max loss is entry price × size), (3) Asymmetric upside (can gain 10x-100x on correct predictions). The trader exploits market inefficiency in pricing low-probability events, similar to insurance companies but in reverse.

Market-Making With Directional Bias: 100% BUY activity suggests the trader is primarily providing liquidity (taking the other side of sellers). However, unlike neutral market makers, this trader has directional edge - they're selectively buying undervalued positions and letting winners run while cutting losers. The 5.4x P/L ratio shows they're not just earning spread - they're accumulating positions with positive expected value.

Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.

Active Positions

Recent Trades

Time Market Side Size Price Total
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.86 $17.26
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.95 $19.10
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $1.00 $19.98
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $1.00 $19.98
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.97 $19.40
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $1.00 $19.98
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.91 $18.10
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.92 $18.32
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.99 $19.86
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.99 $19.82
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.99 $19.78
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.98 $19.60
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.83 $16.70
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $1.00 $19.98
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.87 $17.34
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.94 $18.76
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $1.00 $19.98
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $1.00 $19.94
2026-01-24 19:29 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to Januar... BUY 20.00 $0.83 $16.51
2026-01-24 19:26 Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? BUY 20.00 $0.94 $18.84