Bittercoin
0x707ee69ecae91e2486ec33a906d3ddd17af51960
Trader Insight
Spread arbitrage - neutral position capturing bid-ask spread. Extremely active with 1000+ trades.
Neutral spread trader capturing bid-ask difference. Low directional risk.
Advanced Trading Metrics
Position Price Distribution
Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money
Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (53.1%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 2.0x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.
High-Frequency Execution Indicates Information Edge: With a median trading interval of 10 seconds, this is clearly automated bot trading. The speed of execution suggests access to real-time information that human traders cannot process fast enough. The profitability combined with HFT strongly indicates either: (1) superior information sources, (2) faster data processing, or (3) arbitrage opportunities that close within seconds.
Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.
Active Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current Value | P&L | % P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | No | 2253.65 | $0.84 | $2099.27 | +$206.86 | +10.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25? | No | 2089.02 | $0.79 | $2081.71 | +$427.64 | +25.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25? | No | 2080.66 | $0.90 | $2072.34 | +$208.84 | +11.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25? | No | 1921.60 | $0.85 | $1847.61 | +$213.33 | +13.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | No | 1732.83 | $0.88 | $1705.97 | +$177.56 | +11.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 19-25? | No | 1200.00 | $0.94 | $1196.40 | +$74.13 | +6.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | No | 1190.50 | $0.89 | $1141.09 | +$76.93 | +7.2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24? | No | 1122.70 | $0.53 | $1122.14 | +$530.10 | +89.5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24? | No | 1115.47 | $0.92 | $1114.92 | +$86.52 | +8.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 19-25? | No | 1050.51 | $0.91 | $1047.36 | +$91.40 | +9.6% |