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ArmageddonRewardsBilly

0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418

Edge: 45/100 Bot Whale
Total Profit +$40,290.49 +2.4% ROI
Win Rate 56.4%
Trades 1000
Portfolio $1747.5K
Positions 500
Verified on-chain

Trader Insight

Whale activity - large positions may move markets. $40K profit demonstrates proven edge. Extremely active with 1000+ trades.

Large position holder with $1701K deployed. May be market making or have information edge.

Advanced Trading Metrics

BUY Trades 249 (24.9%)
SELL Trades 751 (75.1%)
Interval 1.1m
Open 500
Profitable 282
Losing 218
P/L Ratio 1.01x

Position Price Distribution

Ultra Low (<10¢)
19
Low (10-30¢)
17
Mid (30-70¢)
73
High (70-90¢)
188
Ultra High (>90¢)
203

Deep Analysis: Why This Trader Makes Money

Double Advantage: This trader has BOTH above-average win rate (56.4%) AND larger winners (P/L ratio: 1.0x). This dual edge compounds into exceptional profitability. Most traders only have one edge or the other.

Proven Edge Through Survivorship: With 1,000 trades, this is NOT luck. The law of large numbers means that random trading would converge to zero profit (minus fees). Sustained profitability over 1,000 trades is statistical proof of a genuine edge. Most traders blow up or quit - the fact this trader is still active and profitable demonstrates repeatable skill or information advantage.

Active Positions

Market Outcome Size Avg Price Current Value P&L % P&L
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Yes 326758.77 $0.74 $323981.32 +$82363.80 +34.1%
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan Japan 57234.41 $1.00 $57177.18 +$81.96 +0.1%
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31... No 53500.86 $0.98 $53153.10 +$925.35 +1.8%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? No 57931.37 $0.93 $51935.47 $-1720.04 -3.2%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? No 43375.49 $0.98 $42876.67 +$267.11 +0.6%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 54901.48 $0.07 $29921.30 +$25991.68 +661.4%
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy Yes 148889.91 $0.61 $28289.08 $-62760.52 -68.9%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be o... Yes 28753.94 $0.98 $27891.32 $-178.42 -0.6%
Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by January 31? No 26136.44 $0.96 $25940.42 +$733.86 +2.9%
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026? No 25960.34 $0.98 $25765.64 +$310.02 +1.2%

Recent Trades

Time Market Side Size Price Total
2026-01-24 18:48 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? SELL 3.08 $0.06 $0.18
2026-01-24 16:38 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26? SELL 986.21 $0.49 $483.24
2026-01-24 16:38 GPT-5.3 released by January 31? SELL 290.35 $0.07 $21.43
2026-01-24 15:10 Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 15... SELL 400.00 $0.00 $0.40
2026-01-24 15:10 Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1... SELL 400.00 $0.00 $0.80
2026-01-24 15:09 Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 ... SELL 400.00 $0.00 $0.40
2026-01-24 15:09 Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 15... SELL 400.00 $0.00 $0.40
2026-01-24 15:08 Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch? SELL 1102.89 $0.99 $1087.72
2026-01-24 15:07 Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? SELL 34.07 $0.51 $17.38
2026-01-24 15:02 Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars? SELL 9.69 $0.88 $8.53
2026-01-24 15:02 Will "Frankenstein" win no awards at the Oscars? SELL 110.00 $0.95 $104.50
2026-01-24 15:02 Will "Frankenstein" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars? SELL 59.92 $0.95 $56.74
2026-01-24 15:02 Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the ... SELL 200.00 $0.95 $190.01
2026-01-24 15:01 Will Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awa... SELL 171.50 $0.03 $5.14
2026-01-24 15:01 Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? SELL 200.00 $0.02 $3.61
2026-01-24 14:59 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 2... SELL 400.00 $0.00 $1.20
2026-01-24 14:55 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.2... SELL 1056.50 $0.00 $3.67
2026-01-24 14:54 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31? SELL 494.92 $0.02 $7.52
2026-01-24 14:54 Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)? SELL 2.56 $0.96 $2.46
2026-01-24 14:54 Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? SELL 2.75 $0.95 $2.60